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How to Tell Whether Your Buyer Can Be Financed

5 minute read

Five checks a U.S. manufacturer can run in an afternoon on public information. Doing them before the quote goes out is worth more than doing them after.

The usual sequence in a cross-border capital equipment sale is to price the deal, send the quote, and then discover how the buyer intends to pay for it. Reversing the last two steps wins more orders, and the reason is that a buyer’s ability to finance is knowable in advance far more often than most Capital Goods Exporters assume.

You cannot credit-assess a company in Lima or Istanbul from a desk in Ohio, and you should not have to. What you can do is establish whether a buyer is likely to qualify, because EXIM publishes its Medium-Term Credit Standards and its content and country policies, and most of what they ask for is checkable from information already in front of you.

Five Checks Worth Running Before You Quote

1. Where the buyer is domiciled

EXIM’s Country Limitation Schedule sets out the markets where the Bank can support business and on what terms, and it moves. Check the country before anything else, because a strong buyer in a market that is closed this quarter is not a transaction. This is the first document I open on any new enquiry and it takes a minute.

2. How long they have been in this line of business

For most corporate buyers the published standard is at least three years in the same general line of business. That single criterion resolves a surprising number of enquiries before anybody spends money on them. A newer company is not excluded from Emerging Market Trade Finance, but the structure has to be built differently from the start.

3. Whether their financial statements can be relied upon

The standards ask for audited statements that properly disclose financial condition, prepared on a basis that supports reliance, with an auditor’s opinion that is either clean or qualified only on points that are not material. Interim statements should show no material adverse change. This is the most common place a genuinely good buyer stalls, and it is also the easiest thing to start fixing early, because getting an audit completed to an acceptable standard takes months rather than weeks.

4. What is actually inside the contract

Support runs to the lesser of 85 percent of the value of eligible goods and services in the export contract, or 100 percent of the U.S. content within it. Knowing your own content position before a buyer asks is a straightforward piece of preparation and it changes what you can credibly offer. In the Congressionally defined Transformational Export Areas the threshold works differently, and content of PRC origin is not eligible.

5. What the equipment does and who will operate it

The programs are built for capital goods and related services rather than consumer goods, purchases by military buyers sit outside them, and larger transactions attract economic impact and environmental review. None of this is obscure, and all of it is better established at the enquiry stage than six months into an application.

What Happens When a Buyer Misses One

This is the part most exporters get wrong, and it is the most useful thing in this article. A buyer who falls short of a published standard is not finished.
EXIM’s own documentation is explicit that where a buyer does not meet the credit standards on its own, guarantors and other credit enhancements may be used to qualify the transaction. A parent company, an affiliate with a stronger balance sheet, additional security, a different payment structure, a shorter tenor, a larger contribution from the buyer. That is a structuring conversation, and structuring conversations are winnable.

What is not winnable is discovering the shortfall after you have quoted a price and a delivery date on the assumption that financing would appear. At that point you are renegotiating rather than structuring, and the buyer has already begun comparing you against whoever turned up with terms attached.

Why the Order Matters More Than the Answer

Quote first and you anchor a price and a payment expectation your buyer may not be able to fund, which leaves you defending a number instead of solving a problem. Ask first and you can quote a structure: the equipment, the term, the down payment, and how the whole thing is paid for, presented as one proposition.

An exporter who arrives with the financing already thought through is not competing purely on price and specification. They are competing on whether the buyer can say yes at all, which is a considerably easier contest and the most reliable Competitive Advantage available in International Trade.
Nearly 90 percent of EXIM transactions support Small Business Exporters, and very few of those companies run a structured trade finance desk. Running these five checks is not a substitute for one. It is what tells you whether the conversation is worth having, and it costs an afternoon.

The Practical Version

Before the next quote goes out to a buyer overseas: confirm the market is open, confirm the buyer has three years of trading history in the same business, ask whether they have audited statements and what the opinion says, know your own U.S. content position, and be clear about what the equipment is and who will run it.

If the answers are all comfortable, you have a financeable transaction, and you should be quoting a structure rather than a price. If one of them is not, that is the moment to bring somebody in, because there is usually a way to build around a single shortfall and almost never a way to build around five.

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